Florida in cone for Potential Tropical Cyclone 6

The National Hurricane Center has named the disturbance tracking toward Florida as Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 so it can begin sending advisories to islands in the Caribbean that may be affected.

Forecasters expect the system to organize into Tropical Storm Fred as soon as Monday night, and South Florida is in the initial cone of concern.

In the NHC’s 11 p.m. advisory for Potential Tropical Cyclone 6, the disturbance was located about 40 miles east-southeast of Dominica with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.

It was moving west-northwest at 16 mph.

“On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move across the southern Leeward Islands during the next few hours, pass near or over the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico late Tuesday and Tuesday night, and be near or over Hispaniola on Wednesday,” the Hurricane Center wrote in its 11 p.m. advisory.

The track has the system approaching Florida this weekend.

Watch more analysis from Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross and Chief Certified Meteorologist Betty Davis in the video at the top of this page.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

Puerto Rico, including Culebra and Vieques U.S. Virgin Islands Dominican Republic on the south coast from Punta Palenque eastward and on the north coast from Cabo Frances Viejo eastward

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:

Martinique and GuadeloupeDominicaPuerto Rico, including Culebra and ViequesU.S. Virgin IslandsDominican Republic on the south coast from Punta Palenque eastward and the entire northern coast to the Dominican Republic/Haiti borderHaiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Gonaives

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area.

Here’s the first cone for Potential Tropical Cyclone 6… soon forecast to be Tropical Storm #Fred. Tracking through the Caribbean this week, with strengthening likely limited by dry air & land interaction. Still, a tropical storm may be near South Florida by Saturday #flwx pic.twitter.com/HIa1GlI5aW

— Luke Dorris (@lukedorrisWPLG) August 9, 2021

The system is expected to produce rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches over the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, with up to 6 inches in some areas. The rainfall could lead to flash, urban, and small-stream flooding and potential mudslides across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

It has been more than a month since this year’s fifth named storm — Hurricane Elsa — formed.

For the latest South Florida radar and forecast information, click here.

Advisory summary potential tropical cyclone six.Read More


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